Draftguru
Draftguru

Expected Games for National Draft Pick 4

Expected Games (XG) Calculation:
We look at the history of all players taken who were still on a list after age .
If you were to pick randomly from this group, you'd get something around the median of their future games (131.0).
We take that as the Expected Games (XG) of a player in this group.

Compare with XG for Other Picks
Year Number Player Future Games
2005 5 Scott Pendlebury 403
2006 5 Travis Boak 371
2004 5 Lance Franklin 354
1999 4 Matthew Pavlich 353
2002 5 Jarrad McVeigh 325
2009 3 Dustin Martin 302
1997 5 Luke Power 302
1994 3 Shannon Grant 301
2005 4 Josh Kennedy 293
2010 4 Andrew Gaff 280
2001 3 Chris Judd 279
1994 4 Scott Lucas 270
2004 3 Ryan Griffen 257
1999 5 Leigh Brown 246
2009 5 Ben Cunnington 238
2011 4 Will Hoskin-Elliott 224
1997 3 Trent Croad 222
1994 5 Joel Smith 221
2011 6 Chad Wingard 218
2008 3 Stephen Hill 218
2000 3 Alan Didak 218
2007 3 Chris Masten 215
2003 4 Farren Ray 209
2009 6 Gary Rohan 204
2008 5 Michael Hurley 194
2008 4 Hamish Hartlett 193
1993 3 Justin Murphy 185
2002 3 Jared Brennan 173
1998 3 Nic Fosdike 164
2003 3 Colin Sylvia 163
2003 5 Brock McLean 157
2010 3 Sam Day 155
2006 3 Lachlan Hansen 151
1997 6 James Walker 151
2010 6 Reece Conca 150
2010 5 Jared Polec 148
1999 3 Aaron Fiora 140
2006 4 Matthew Leuenberger 137
Median 131.0
1993 5 Adam Heuskes 125
2004 4 Richard Tambling 124
1997 4 Mark Bolton 124
2007 6 David Myers 123
2002 6 Steven Salopek 121
2005 3 Xavier Ellis 120
2008 6 Chris Yarran 119
2003 6 Kepler Bradley 117
2011 3 Dom Tyson 113
2001 4 Graham Polak 111
2001 5 Xavier Clarke 106
2007 5 Jarrad Grant 95
1996 3 Rory Hilton 91
2004 6 Tom Williams 85
2001 6 Ashley Sampi 78
2007 4 Cale Morton 76
1995 3 Brendon Fewster 70
2011 5 Matt Buntine 67
1995 5 Brendan Krummel 64
1998 5 Michael Stevens 61
1995 4 Scott Bamford 59
1999 6 Damian Cupido 53
2000 4 Luke Livingston 46
2000 5 Andrew McDougall 43
1995 6 Daniel Healy 38
1993 6 Trent Cummings 29
2009 4 Anthony Morabito 26
1996 6 John Rombotis 22
2000 6 Dylan Smith 21
1998 4 Ryan Fitzgerald 18
2005 6 Beau Dowler 16
1996 5 Daniel McAlister 6
1996 4 Mark Kinnear 6
1998 6 Murray Vance 5
1994 6 Robert McMahon 2
2006 6 Mitch Thorp 2
1993 4 Glenn Gorman 2
2002 4 Tim Walsh 1